语言:简体中文
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Alex Michelsen
胜负盘
Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)
预测 32.83%3.05公平赔率
EV +0.131%
优势 +0.043%
Kelly +0.064%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.05
博彩公司预测分布
31.55%32.86%32.79%34.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.882.903.0538.46%34.76%34.48%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
Alex Michelsen (客队)
预测 67.17%1.49公平赔率
EV -2.60%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -5.78%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.45
博彩公司预测分布
65.64%67.14%67.21%68.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.411.411.4573.53%71.16%70.92%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)：32.83%；Alex Michelsen (客队)：67.17%。 对于“Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.046。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.050，由此产生+0.131%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.131%E +0.043%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.51%E -0.504%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.17%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.17%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 12:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.63%E -4.77%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 12:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.14%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 12:37 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 12:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 12:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -9.06%E -3.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -2.60%E -1.80%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.63%E -4.77%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |