Langue:Français
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Alex Michelsen
Résultat du match
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Prévision 32.83%3.05cote équitable
EV +0.131%
Avantage +0.043%
Kelly +0.064%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.55%32.86%32.79%34.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.882.903.0538.46%34.76%34.48%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Visiteur)
Prévision 67.17%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -5.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.64%67.14%67.21%68.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.411.411.4573.53%71.16%70.92%68.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local) : 32.83% ; Alex Michelsen (Visiteur) : 67.17%. Pour Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.046. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.050, pour une espérance positive de +0.131%.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.131%E +0.043%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.51%E -0.504%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.17%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.17%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 12:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.63%E -4.77%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 12:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.14%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 12:37 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 12:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 12:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -9.06%E -3.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -2.60%E -1.80%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.63%E -4.77%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |