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Daniel Merida Aguilar v Alex Michelsen
Direkter Vergleich
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim)
Prognose 32.83%3.05faire Quote
EV +0.131%
Vorteil +0.043%
Kelly +0.064%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.05
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.55%32.86%32.79%34.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.602.882.903.0538.46%34.76%34.48%32.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Auswärts)
Prognose 67.17%1.49faire Quote
EV -2.60%
Vorteil -1.80%
Kelly -5.78%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.45
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.64%67.14%67.21%68.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.361.411.411.4573.53%71.16%70.92%68.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim): 32.83%; Alex Michelsen (Auswärts): 67.17%. Für Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.046. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.050 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.131%.
Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.131%E +0.043%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.51%E -0.504%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.17%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.17%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 12:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.63%E -4.77%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 12:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.14%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 12:37 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 12:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 12:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -9.06%E -3.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -2.60%E -1.80%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.63%E -4.77%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (5)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |