Taal:Nederlands
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Alex Michelsen
Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →
Wedstrijduitslag
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis)
Prognose 28.74%3.48margevrije odds
EV +0.596%
Voordeel +0.170%
Kelly +0.238%
Groei +0.001%
bij maximale odds 3.50
Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
27.19%28.77%28.65%31.51%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.85%30.82%28.57%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Uit)
Prognose 71.26%1.40margevrije odds
EV -1.66%
Voordeel -1.21%
Kelly -4.38%
Groei +0.000%
bij maximale odds 1.38
Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
68.49%71.23%71.35%72.81%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.271.341.331.3878.74%74.76%75.19%72.46%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis): 28.74%; Alex Michelsen (Uit): 71.26%. Voor Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 3.48. 2 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 3.50, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +0.596%.
Odds van wedaanbieders (66 wedaanbieders)
Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.
| Wedaanbieder | Thuis ▼ | Uit | Marge | Bijgewerkt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.596%E +0.170%K +0.238%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 28.04%EV +0.308%E +0.088%K +0.124%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.96%EV -3.09%E -2.27%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -0.554%E -0.160%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.65%E -5.08%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.842%E -0.244%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.51%E -3.37%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.842%E -0.244%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.94%E -4.50%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.28%E -0.670%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.09%E -2.27%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.28%E -0.670%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.51%E -3.37%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 16:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.28%E -0.670%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.51%E -3.37%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.28%E -0.670%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.28%E -0.670%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 16:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.28%E -0.670%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.28%E -0.670%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.50%E -7.48%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.72%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.72%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.94%E -4.50%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.51%E -3.37%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.50%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.50%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.50%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.50%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 16:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -1.66%E -1.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 05:36 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.65%E -5.08%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 15:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.51%E -3.37%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.09%E -2.27%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.80%E -2.82%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.51%E -3.37%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.51%E -3.37%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 08:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.94%E -4.50%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -8.31%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.09%E -2.27%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.36%E -5.66%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 16:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 08:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.66%E -1.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.66%E -1.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.09%E -2.27%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.09%E -2.27%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 16:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.09%E -2.27%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 15:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.23%E -3.93%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 01:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal
Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.
Weddenschapsbeurzen (7)
| Wedaanbieder | Thuis | Uit | Marge ▲ | Bijgewerkt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.35% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.65% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 16:31 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 1.6% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |