Språk:Svenska
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Alex Michelsen
Matchresultat
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Hemma)
Prognos 32.83%3.05rättvist odds
EV +0.131%
Fördel +0.043%
Kelly +0.064%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 3.05
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.55%32.86%32.79%34.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.882.903.0538.46%34.76%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Borta)
Prognos 67.17%1.49rättvist odds
EV -2.60%
Fördel -1.80%
Kelly -5.78%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.45
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.64%67.14%67.21%68.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.361.411.411.4573.53%71.16%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Hemma): 32.83%; Alex Michelsen (Borta): 67.17%. För Daniel Merida Aguilar (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.046. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.050, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.131%.
Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma ▼ | Borta | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.131%E +0.043%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.51%E -0.504%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.17%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.17%E -0.727%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 12:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.63%E -4.77%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.15%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 12:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.14%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 12:37 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 12:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 12:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.88%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.31%E -5.29%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -9.06%E -3.27%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -2.60%E -1.80%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.72%E -3.53%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -6.63%E -4.77%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-06 11:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 11:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -11.36%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -14.64%E -5.63%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-06 11:15 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (5)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |