Language:English
Alex Michelsen v Jan-Lennard Struff
Head to Head
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Prediction 71.18%1.40fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -11.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%71.12%71.12%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.341.341.3575.19%74.72%74.63%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)
Prediction 28.82%3.47fair odd
EV -0.560%
Edge -0.162%
Kelly -0.229%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%28.88%28.88%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.253.4532.26%30.50%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alex Michelsen (Local): 71.18%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit): 28.82%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.45, with an expected value of -0.560%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.560%E -0.162%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-01 20:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.76%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -1.14%E -0.331%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 20:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 20:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Casumo | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -6.61%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 18:40 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 18:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 20:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 18:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 18:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |