Idioma:Português
Alex Michelsen v Jan-Lennard Struff
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Previsão 72.66%1.38odd justa
EV +6.08%
Vantagem +4.16%
Kelly +13.21%
Crescimento +0.803%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.46
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.82%72.20%72.49%75.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.211.291.291.4682.64%77.27%77.52%68.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visitante)
Previsão 27.34%3.66odd justa
EV +3.36%
Vantagem +0.889%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescimento +0.041%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.78
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.00%27.80%27.51%35.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.693.483.503.7837.17%28.76%28.57%26.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex Michelsen (Local): 72.66%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visitante): 27.34%. Para Alex Michelsen (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.38. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.46, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.08%.
Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV +6.08%E +4.16%K +13.21%G +0.803% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -26.44%E -9.83%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV +0.992%E +0.714%K +2.54%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -13.87%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +0.265%E +0.192%K +0.699%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -15.23%E -4.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -0.461%E -0.337%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -17.97%E -5.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 01:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +2.54%E +0.677%K +0.923%G +0.023% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +2.27%E +0.606%K +0.827%G +0.019% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 21:28 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.352%E +0.096%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.352%E +0.096%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 01:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 00:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 21:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 00:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.87%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.17%E +0.317%K +0.434%G +0.005% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 01:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.13%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +3.36%E +0.889%K +1.21%G +0.041% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV +2.27%E +0.606%K +0.827%G +0.019% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.45%E -6.71%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.45%E -6.71%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.54%E +0.677%K +0.923%G +0.023% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -10.63%E -8.64%K -46.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.75%EV -12.09%E -9.99%K -57.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 00:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |