Språk:Svenska
Alex Michelsen v Jan-Lennard Struff
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Alex Michelsen (Hemma)
Prognos 72.66%1.38rättvist odds
EV +6.08%
Fördel +4.16%
Kelly +13.21%
Tillväxt +0.803%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.46
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.82%72.20%72.49%75.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.211.291.291.4682.64%77.27%77.52%68.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Borta)
Prognos 27.34%3.66rättvist odds
EV +3.36%
Fördel +0.889%
Kelly +1.21%
Tillväxt +0.041%
med antagandet om högsta odds 3.78
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.00%27.80%27.51%35.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.693.483.503.7837.17%28.76%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alex Michelsen (Hemma): 72.66%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Borta): 27.34%. För Alex Michelsen (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.38. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.46, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.08%.
Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma ▼ | Borta | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV +6.08%E +4.16%K +13.21%G +0.803% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -26.44%E -9.83%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV +0.992%E +0.714%K +2.54%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -13.87%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +0.265%E +0.192%K +0.699%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -15.23%E -4.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -0.461%E -0.337%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -17.97%E -5.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 01:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +2.54%E +0.677%K +0.923%G +0.023% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +2.27%E +0.606%K +0.827%G +0.019% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 21:28 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.352%E +0.096%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.352%E +0.096%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 01:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 00:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 21:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 00:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.87%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.17%E +0.317%K +0.434%G +0.005% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 01:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.13%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +3.36%E +0.889%K +1.21%G +0.041% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV +2.27%E +0.606%K +0.827%G +0.019% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.45%E -6.71%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.45%E -6.71%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.54%E +0.677%K +0.923%G +0.023% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -10.63%E -8.64%K -46.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.75%EV -12.09%E -9.99%K -57.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (7)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 00:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |