Język:Polski
Alex Michelsen v Jan-Lennard Struff
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 72.66%1.38kurs godziwy
EV +6.08%
Przewaga +4.16%
Kelly +13.21%
Wzrost +0.803%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.46
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.82%72.20%72.49%75.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.211.291.291.4682.64%77.27%77.52%68.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Goście)
Prognoza 27.34%3.66kurs godziwy
EV +3.36%
Przewaga +0.889%
Kelly +1.21%
Wzrost +0.041%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.78
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.00%27.80%27.51%35.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.693.483.503.7837.17%28.76%28.57%26.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze): 72.66%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Goście): 27.34%. Dla wyniku Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.38. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.46, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.08%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV +6.08%E +4.16%K +13.21%G +0.803% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -26.44%E -9.83%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV +0.992%E +0.714%K +2.54%G +0.025% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -13.87%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +0.265%E +0.192%K +0.699%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -15.23%E -4.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -0.461%E -0.337%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -17.97%E -5.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 01:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +2.54%E +0.677%K +0.923%G +0.023% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +2.27%E +0.606%K +0.827%G +0.019% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 21:28 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 17:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.352%E +0.096%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.352%E +0.096%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 01:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 00:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 21:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 00:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.87%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.17%E +0.317%K +0.434%G +0.005% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 01:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.13%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +3.36%E +0.889%K +1.21%G +0.041% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV +2.27%E +0.606%K +0.827%G +0.019% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.45%E -6.71%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.45%E -6.71%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.54%E +0.677%K +0.923%G +0.023% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -10.63%E -8.64%K -46.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.75%EV -12.09%E -9.99%K -57.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 00:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 01:04 |