Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alex Michelsen v Jan-Lennard Struff

2026-08-02 14:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Testa a testa

24 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alex Michelsen (Casa)

Previsione 71.18%1.40quota equa
EV -3.91%
Vantaggio -2.90%
Kelly -11.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.98%71.12%71.12%71.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.341.341.3575.19%74.74%74.63%74.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jan-Lennard Struff (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.82%3.47quota equa
EV -0.560%
Vantaggio -0.162%
Kelly -0.229%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.12%28.88%28.88%30.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.283.253.4532.26%30.49%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Alex Michelsen (Casa): 71.18%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Trasferta): 28.82%. Per Jan-Lennard Struff (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.47. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.45, con un valore atteso del -0.560%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.560%E -0.162%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-01 20:25
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.76%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -1.14%E -0.331%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 20:20
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:29
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 20:30
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:49
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:50
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:50
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:50
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:55
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:50
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:50
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:50
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:50
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:49
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -6.61%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 18:40
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 20:14
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 21:15
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 22:45
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 18:45
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 20:19
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 18:45
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 18:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%4.2%2026-08-01 23:15