StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Alex Michelsen v Jan-Lennard Struff

Aanvang: 2026-08-04 01:09 UTC

Eindstand: Alex Michelsen 2–1 Jan-Lennard Struff

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

60 wedaanbieders (21 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Alex Michelsen (Thuis)

Prognose 72.66%1.38margevrije odds
EV +6.08%
Voordeel +4.16%
Kelly +13.21%
Groei +0.803%

bij maximale odds 1.46

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
64.82%72.20%72.49%75.00%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.211.291.291.4682.64%77.27%77.52%68.49%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Jan-Lennard Struff (Uit)

Prognose 27.34%3.66margevrije odds
EV +3.36%
Voordeel +0.889%
Kelly +1.21%
Groei +0.041%

bij maximale odds 3.78

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
25.00%27.80%27.51%35.18%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.693.483.503.7837.17%28.76%28.57%26.46%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Alex Michelsen (Thuis): 72.66%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Uit): 27.34%. Voor Alex Michelsen (Thuis) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 1.38. 3 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 1.46, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +6.08%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (60 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV +6.08%E +4.16%K +13.21%G +0.803%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -26.44%E -9.83%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV +0.992%E +0.714%K +2.54%G +0.025%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -13.87%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +0.265%E +0.192%K +0.699%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -15.23%E -4.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -0.461%E -0.337%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -17.97%E -5.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 01:05
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 01:00
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.37%E -2.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 01:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 23:54
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 01:00
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.09%E -3.10%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 01:00
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +2.54%E +0.677%K +0.923%G +0.023%3.0%2026-08-04 00:59
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.06%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV +2.27%E +0.606%K +0.827%G +0.019%3.1%2026-08-04 00:40
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 21:28
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.82%E -3.68%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 17:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.352%E +0.096%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.352%E +0.096%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 00:55
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 01:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 00:49
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 21:34
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.77%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 00:25
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -5.55%E -4.27%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.87%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.17%E +0.317%K +0.434%G +0.005%4.5%2026-08-04 00:49
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 00:50
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 01:04
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 01:08
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 21:40
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.27%E -4.86%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.13%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 23:49
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:34
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:35
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.00%E -5.47%K -25.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 01:04
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +3.36%E +0.889%K +1.21%G +0.041%5.2%2026-08-04 01:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV +2.27%E +0.606%K +0.827%G +0.019%5.5%2026-08-04 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.195%E -0.053%K -0.074%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.73%E -6.08%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.45%E -6.71%K -32.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.45%E -6.71%K -32.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 01:05
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.54%E +0.677%K +0.923%G +0.023%6.7%2026-08-04 00:50
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.56%E -0.434%K -0.601%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -9.18%E -7.34%K -36.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -2.93%E -0.825%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -10.63%E -8.64%K -46.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-04 01:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.75%EV -12.09%E -9.99%K -57.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (7)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-08-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-08-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-08-04 01:05
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-04 00:30
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-08-04 01:05
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%2.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%5.1%2026-08-04 01:04