Language:English
Arthur Fils v Brandon Nakashima
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Fils (Local)
Prediction 74.18%1.35fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -11.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.49%74.24%74.26%76.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.34%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brandon Nakashima (Visit)
Prediction 25.82%3.87fair odd
EV +3.79%
Edge +0.942%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.048%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.72%25.76%25.74%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.604.0229.41%27.47%27.78%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Fils (Local): 74.18%; Brandon Nakashima (Visit): 25.82%. For Brandon Nakashima (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +3.79%E +0.942%K +1.25%G +0.048% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.27%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.036% | 3.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +2.50%E +0.629%K +0.841%G +0.021% | 2.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.174%E +0.045%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 17:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.600%E -0.156%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.89%E -0.498%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -5.25%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 17:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.93%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |