مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arthur Fils v Brandon Nakashima

البداية: 2026-04-16 17:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arthur Fils (المضيف)

التنبؤ 74.18%1.35السعر العادل
EV -3.56%
الأفضلية -2.74%
Kelly -11.88%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.49%74.24%74.26%76.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.34%78.13%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Brandon Nakashima (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.82%3.87السعر العادل
EV +3.79%
الأفضلية +0.942%
Kelly +1.25%
النمو +0.048%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.72%25.76%25.74%27.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.643.604.0229.41%27.47%27.78%24.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +3.79%E +0.942%K +1.25%G +0.048%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.27%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.036%3.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +2.50%E +0.629%K +0.841%G +0.021%2.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.174%E +0.045%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 17:16
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.600%E -0.156%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 16:05
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 17:20
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.89%E -0.498%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:09
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:03
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 17:20
Betway1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 15:15
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:50
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:25
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 17:24
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 17:25
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 17:20
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:20
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 17:25
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -5.25%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 17:00
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:00
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 17:25
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:59
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:59
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 16:20
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:00
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:00
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 15:55
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 16:05
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 17:25
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 16:20
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 15:30
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:14
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:15
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:15
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:14
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 17:19
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 14:50
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 15:14
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.93%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 17:20
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 15:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-04-16 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-04-16 17:10
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-04-16 17:25