Idioma:Español
Arthur Fils v Brandon Nakashima
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Fils (Local)
Predicción 74.18%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -2.74%
Kelly -11.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.49%74.24%74.26%76.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.34%78.13%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Brandon Nakashima (Visitante)
Predicción 25.82%3.87momio equitativo
EV +3.79%
Ventaja +0.942%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.048%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.72%25.76%25.74%27.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.643.604.0229.41%27.47%27.78%24.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arthur Fils (Local): 74.18%; Brandon Nakashima (Visitante): 25.82%. Para Brandon Nakashima (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.87. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.02, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.79%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +3.79%E +0.942%K +1.25%G +0.048% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.27%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.036% | 3.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +2.50%E +0.629%K +0.841%G +0.021% | 2.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.174%E +0.045%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 17:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.600%E -0.156%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.89%E -0.498%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -5.25%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 17:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.93%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |