Język:Polski
Arthur Fils v Brandon Nakashima
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Arthur Fils (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 74.18%1.35kurs godziwy
EV -3.56%
Przewaga -2.74%
Kelly -11.88%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.49%74.24%74.26%76.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.34%78.13%76.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Brandon Nakashima (Goście)
Prognoza 25.82%3.87kurs godziwy
EV +3.79%
Przewaga +0.942%
Kelly +1.25%
Wzrost +0.048%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.02
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.72%25.76%25.74%27.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.643.604.0229.41%27.47%27.78%24.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Arthur Fils (Gospodarze): 74.18%; Brandon Nakashima (Goście): 25.82%. Dla wyniku Brandon Nakashima (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.87. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.02, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.79%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +3.79%E +0.942%K +1.25%G +0.048% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.27%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.036% | 3.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +2.50%E +0.629%K +0.841%G +0.021% | 2.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.174%E +0.045%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 17:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.600%E -0.156%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.89%E -0.498%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -5.25%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 17:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.93%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |