StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Fils v Brandon Nakashima

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-16 17:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Fils (Heim)

Prognose 74.18%1.35faire Quote
EV -3.56%
Vorteil -2.74%
Kelly -11.88%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.49%74.24%74.26%76.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.34%78.13%76.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Brandon Nakashima (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.82%3.87faire Quote
EV +3.79%
Vorteil +0.942%
Kelly +1.25%
Wachstum +0.048%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.02

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.72%25.76%25.74%27.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.403.643.604.0229.41%27.47%27.78%24.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Arthur Fils (Heim): 74.18%; Brandon Nakashima (Auswärts): 25.82%. Für Brandon Nakashima (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.87. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.02 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.79%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +3.79%E +0.942%K +1.25%G +0.048%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.27%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.036%3.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +2.50%E +0.629%K +0.841%G +0.021%2.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.174%E +0.045%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 17:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.600%E -0.156%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.89%E -0.498%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:09
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:03
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 17:20
Betway🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:50
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 17:24
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:20
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 17:25
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -5.25%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 17:00
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:00
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:59
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 16:20
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 16:05
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 15:30
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:14
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:14
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 17:19
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 14:50
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 15:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.93%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 17:20
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 15:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-04-16 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-04-16 17:10
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-04-16 17:25