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Arthur Fils v Brandon Nakashima
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Arthur Fils (Хозяева)
Прогноз 74.18%1.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.56%
Преимущество -2.74%
Kelly -11.88%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.49%74.24%74.26%76.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.34%78.13%76.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Brandon Nakashima (Гости)
Прогноз 25.82%3.87справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.79%
Преимущество +0.942%
Kelly +1.25%
Рост +0.048%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.02
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.72%25.76%25.74%27.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.643.604.0229.41%27.47%27.78%24.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Arthur Fils (Хозяева): 74.18%; Brandon Nakashima (Гости): 25.82%. Для исхода «Brandon Nakashima (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.87. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.02, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.79%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +3.79%E +0.942%K +1.25%G +0.048% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.27%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.036% | 3.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +2.50%E +0.629%K +0.841%G +0.021% | 2.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.174%E +0.045%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 17:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.600%E -0.156%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.89%E -0.498%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -5.25%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 15:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 07:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 17:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 15:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.93%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |