L’École des cotes

Arthur Fils v Brandon Nakashima

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Fils (Local)

Prévision 74.18%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -2.74%
Kelly -11.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.49%74.24%74.26%76.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.281.281.3081.97%78.34%78.13%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Brandon Nakashima (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.82%3.87cote équitable
EV +3.79%
Avantage +0.942%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.72%25.76%25.74%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.643.604.0229.41%27.47%27.78%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +3.79%E +0.942%K +1.25%G +0.048%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.27%E +0.818%K +1.09%G +0.036%3.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.48%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.52%EV +2.50%E +0.629%K +0.841%G +0.021%2.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.174%E +0.045%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 17:16
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.600%E -0.156%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 16:05
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 17:20
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.89%E -0.498%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:09
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:03
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 17:20
Betway1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 15:15
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.18%E -0.849%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:50
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.44%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:25
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 17:24
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 17:25
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 17:20
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:20
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 17:25
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -5.25%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 17:00
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:00
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 17:25
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:59
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:59
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 16:20
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:00
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:00
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 15:55
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 16:05
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 17:25
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 16:20
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 15:30
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:14
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:15
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:15
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.56%E -2.74%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 07:14
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 17:19
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.05%E -3.94%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 14:50
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.27%E -5.82%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 15:14
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -6.53%E -5.18%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.93%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 17:20
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.31%E -3.34%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.22%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-04-16 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-16 17:25
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-04-16 17:10
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-04-16 17:25