Language:English
FC Lugano v FC Zurich
Head to Head
FC Lugano (Local)
Prediction 62.70%1.59fair odd
EV -5.32%
Edge -3.52%
Kelly -10.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.88%62.70%62.68%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.481.5170.42%67.93%67.80%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Zurich (Visit)
Prediction 15.79%6.33fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.314%
Kelly -0.374%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.24%15.77%15.82%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.685.726.2119.61%17.61%17.47%16.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.51%4.65fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.232%
Kelly -0.297%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.32%21.53%21.50%22.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.294.314.6025.64%23.31%23.17%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Lugano (Local): 62.70%; FC Zurich (Visit): 15.79%; Draw: 21.51%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -1.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.66%EV -5.32%E -3.52%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.24%EV -1.95%E -0.314%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.11%EV -7.95%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.22%E -0.715%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.87%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -6.57%E -4.41%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -7.20%E -4.86%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.84%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -1.07%E -0.232%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.20%E -4.86%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -7.20%E -4.86%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -8.42%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -1.07%E -0.232%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 20:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 15:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.85%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -11.58%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.91%EV -10.75%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.27%EV -8.45%E -5.79%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -10.00%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.22%E -0.715%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -5.37%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.09%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.90%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 60.88%EV -10.96%E -7.72%K -26.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.95%EV -19.47%E -3.82%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64% | 13.3% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |