Langue:Français
FC Lugano v FC Zurich
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Lugano (Local)
Prévision 65.13%1.54cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.20%65.06%65.22%66.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.351.431.421.5174.07%70.10%70.18%66.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
FC Zurich (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.77%6.77cote équitable
EV +3.40%
Avantage +0.486%
Kelly +0.567%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.63%14.87%14.65%16.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.066.007.0018.18%16.51%16.67%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.09%4.98cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -0.654%
Kelly -0.825%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.33%20.07%20.13%21.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.514.504.8223.81%22.19%22.22%20.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Lugano (Local) : 65.13% ; FC Zurich (Visiteur) : 14.77% ; Match nul : 20.09%. Pour FC Zurich (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.77. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.40%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +3.40%E +0.486%K +0.567%G +0.019% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.56%E -0.959%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.96%EV -4.90%E -3.36%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.06%EV +1.19%E +0.173%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.98%EV -3.15%E -0.654%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.51%E -0.380%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.51%E -0.380%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.57%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.51%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.58%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 11:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -8.41%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -3.55%E -0.740%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.20%EV -1.65%E -1.09%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.77%EV -10.63%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.02%EV -8.78%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.56%E -0.959%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -12.07%E -8.94%K -34.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -13.60%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.00%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -17.28%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -18.75%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -7.57%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.75%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 11:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.47% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |