Idioma:Español
FC Lugano v FC Zurich
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Lugano (Local)
Predicción 65.13%1.54momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -3.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.20%65.06%65.22%66.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.431.421.5174.07%70.10%70.18%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Zurich (Visitante)
Predicción 14.77%6.77momio equitativo
EV +3.40%
Ventaja +0.486%
Kelly +0.567%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.63%14.87%14.65%16.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.066.007.0018.18%16.51%16.67%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.09%4.98momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -0.654%
Kelly -0.825%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.33%20.07%20.13%21.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.514.504.8223.81%22.19%22.22%20.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Lugano (Local): 65.13%; FC Zurich (Visitante): 14.77%; Empate: 20.09%. Para FC Zurich (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.77. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.40%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +3.40%E +0.486%K +0.567%G +0.019% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.56%E -0.959%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.96%EV -4.90%E -3.36%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.06%EV +1.19%E +0.173%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.98%EV -3.15%E -0.654%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.51%E -0.380%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.51%E -0.380%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.57%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.51%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.58%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 11:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -8.41%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -3.55%E -0.740%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.20%EV -1.65%E -1.09%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.77%EV -10.63%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.02%EV -8.78%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.56%E -0.959%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -12.07%E -8.94%K -34.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -13.60%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.00%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -17.28%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -18.75%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -7.57%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.75%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 11:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.47% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |