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FC Lugano v FC Zurich
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
FC Lugano (Хозяева)
Прогноз 65.13%1.54справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.65%
Преимущество -1.09%
Kelly -3.23%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.51
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
63.20%65.06%65.22%66.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.351.431.421.5174.07%70.10%70.18%66.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
FC Zurich (Гости)
Прогноз 14.77%6.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.40%
Преимущество +0.486%
Kelly +0.567%
Рост +0.019%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.63%14.87%14.65%16.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.506.066.007.0018.18%16.51%16.67%14.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 20.09%4.98справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.15%
Преимущество -0.654%
Kelly -0.825%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.82
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.33%20.07%20.13%21.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.514.504.8223.81%22.19%22.22%20.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: FC Lugano (Хозяева): 65.13%; FC Zurich (Гости): 14.77%; Ничья: 20.09%. Для исхода «FC Zurich (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.77. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.40%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +3.40%E +0.486%K +0.567%G +0.019% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.56%E -0.959%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.96%EV -4.90%E -3.36%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.06%EV +1.19%E +0.173%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.98%EV -3.15%E -0.654%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.51%E -0.380%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.51%E -0.380%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.57%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.51%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.58%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 11:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -8.41%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -3.55%E -0.740%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.20%EV -1.65%E -1.09%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.77%EV -10.63%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.02%EV -8.78%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.56%E -0.959%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -12.07%E -8.94%K -34.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -13.60%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.00%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -17.28%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -18.75%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -7.57%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.75%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 11:09 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.47% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |