语言:简体中文
FC Lugano v FC Zurich
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
FC Lugano (主队)
预测 65.13%1.54公平赔率
EV -1.65%
优势 -1.09%
Kelly -3.23%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.51
博彩公司预测分布
63.20%65.06%65.22%66.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.431.421.5174.07%70.10%70.18%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
FC Zurich (客队)
预测 14.77%6.77公平赔率
EV +3.40%
优势 +0.486%
Kelly +0.567%
增长率 +0.019%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.63%14.87%14.65%16.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.066.007.0018.18%16.51%16.67%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.09%4.98公平赔率
EV -3.15%
优势 -0.654%
Kelly -0.825%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.82
博彩公司预测分布
19.33%20.07%20.13%21.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.514.504.8223.81%22.19%22.22%20.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Lugano (主队)：65.13%；FC Zurich (客队)：14.77%；平局：20.09%。 对于“FC Zurich (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.77。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.00，对应+3.40%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +3.40%E +0.486%K +0.567%G +0.019% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.56%E -0.959%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.96%EV -4.90%E -3.36%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 14.06%EV +1.19%E +0.173%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.98%EV -3.15%E -0.654%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.51%E -0.380%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.51%E -0.380%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.57%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.51%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.58%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 11:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -8.41%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -3.55%E -0.740%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.20%EV -1.65%E -1.09%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.77%EV -10.63%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.02%EV -8.78%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.56%E -0.959%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -12.07%E -8.94%K -34.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -13.60%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-04 13:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.00%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -17.28%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 11:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -18.75%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -7.57%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.75%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 11:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.86% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.74% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.47% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.37% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |