StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

FC Lugano v FC Zurich

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC

Endstand: FC Lugano 5–0 FC Zurich

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

FC Lugano (Heim)

Prognose 65.13%1.54faire Quote
EV -1.65%
Vorteil -1.09%
Kelly -3.23%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.51

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
63.20%65.06%65.22%66.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.351.431.421.5174.07%70.10%70.18%66.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

FC Zurich (Auswärts)

Prognose 14.77%6.77faire Quote
EV +3.40%
Vorteil +0.486%
Kelly +0.567%
Wachstum +0.019%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.63%14.87%14.65%16.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.506.066.007.0018.18%16.51%16.67%14.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 20.09%4.98faire Quote
EV -3.15%
Vorteil -0.654%
Kelly -0.825%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.33%20.07%20.13%21.60%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.204.514.504.8223.81%22.19%22.22%20.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: FC Lugano (Heim): 65.13%; FC Zurich (Auswärts): 14.77%; Unentschieden: 20.09%. Für FC Zurich (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.77. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 7.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.40%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.27%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +3.40%E +0.486%K +0.567%G +0.019%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.56%E -0.959%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 11:45
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.96%EV -4.90%E -3.36%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 14.06%EV +1.19%E +0.173%K +0.203%G +0.002%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.98%EV -3.15%E -0.654%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.51%E -0.380%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.51%E -0.380%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 11:50
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 11:05
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 11:45
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:20
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.98%E -0.613%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.57%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:45
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.51%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -10.58%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 11:39
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -7.68%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -8.41%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -3.55%E -0.740%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 11:30
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.20%EV -1.65%E -1.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.77%EV -10.63%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.02%EV -8.78%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.56%E -0.959%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:10
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -4.25%E -2.89%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:10
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 11:29
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.51%E -5.29%K -17.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 11:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 11:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -12.07%E -8.94%K -34.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -11.37%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -13.60%E -3.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 13:09
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 13:10
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.60%EV -5.55%E -3.83%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 13:14
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -6.21%E -4.31%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-04 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-04 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -14.32%E -2.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 13:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 13:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -6.86%E -4.80%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.59%E -2.63%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 13:10
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.00%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 11:50
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.06%E -2.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.61%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -8.16%E -5.79%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -17.28%E -3.09%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -5.56%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -18.75%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -7.57%E -1.65%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.81%E -6.29%K -22.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.75%E -3.41%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -9.58%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 11:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49%0.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.71%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49%0.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.86%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.86%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.47%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.37%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16%2.3%2026-08-09 11:55