Language:English
Mallorca v Sabadell FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mallorca (Local)
Prediction 51.03%1.96fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.11%51.14%50.98%53.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.821.9059.17%55.13%54.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sabadell FC (Visit)
Prediction 20.59%4.86fair odd
EV +8.30%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.162%
assuming max odds 5.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.07%20.50%20.77%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.424.455.2625.64%22.60%22.47%19.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.38%3.52fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.856%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.83%28.36%28.25%29.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.253.4233.33%31.14%30.77%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mallorca (Local): 51.03%; Sabadell FC (Visit): 20.59%; Draw: 28.38%. For Sabadell FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV +8.30%E +1.58%K +1.95%G +0.162% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -12.24%E -7.11%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV +0.891%E +0.182%K +0.229%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.91%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.87%EV +0.068%E +0.014%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.23%EV -2.93%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -3.23%E -0.687%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.66%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 16:27 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 16:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.32%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -11.44%E -3.67%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 16:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.95%EV -13.77%E -8.15%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -9.17%E -5.15%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -10.85%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-13 16:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.04%EV -10.19%E -5.79%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.49%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.53%EV -11.73%E -6.78%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.81%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -7.64%E -4.22%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.64%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.35%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.02%EV -19.70%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.95% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.02% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03% | -0.1% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |