Idioma:Español
Mallorca v Sabadell FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mallorca (Local)
Predicción 51.03%1.96momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -3.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.11%51.14%50.98%53.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.811.821.9059.17%55.13%54.95%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sabadell FC (Visitante)
Predicción 20.59%4.86momio equitativo
EV +8.30%
Ventaja +1.58%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.162%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.07%20.50%20.77%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.424.455.2625.64%22.60%22.47%19.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.38%3.52momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -0.856%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.83%28.36%28.25%29.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.253.4233.33%31.14%30.77%29.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mallorca (Local): 51.03%; Sabadell FC (Visitante): 20.59%; Empate: 28.38%. Para Sabadell FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.86. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.26, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.30%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV +8.30%E +1.58%K +1.95%G +0.162% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -12.24%E -7.11%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV +0.891%E +0.182%K +0.229%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.91%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.87%EV +0.068%E +0.014%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.23%EV -2.93%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -3.23%E -0.687%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.66%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 16:27 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 16:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.32%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -11.44%E -3.67%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 16:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.95%EV -13.77%E -8.15%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -9.17%E -5.15%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -10.85%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-13 16:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.04%EV -10.19%E -5.79%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.49%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.53%EV -11.73%E -6.78%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.81%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -7.64%E -4.22%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.64%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.35%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.02%EV -19.70%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.95% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.02% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03% | -0.1% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |