StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mallorca v Sabadell FC

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-13 16:30 UTC

Endstand: Mallorca 2–0 Sabadell FC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mallorca (Heim)

Prognose 51.03%1.96faire Quote
EV -3.05%
Vorteil -1.61%
Kelly -3.39%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
49.11%51.14%50.98%53.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.691.811.821.9059.17%55.13%54.95%52.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sabadell FC (Auswärts)

Prognose 20.59%4.86faire Quote
EV +8.30%
Vorteil +1.58%
Kelly +1.95%
Wachstum +0.162%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.07%20.50%20.77%22.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.904.424.455.2625.64%22.60%22.47%19.01%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.38%3.52faire Quote
EV -2.93%
Vorteil -0.856%
Kelly -1.21%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.83%28.36%28.25%29.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.213.253.4233.33%31.14%30.77%29.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Mallorca (Heim): 51.03%; Sabadell FC (Auswärts): 20.59%; Unentschieden: 28.38%. Für Sabadell FC (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.86. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.26 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.30%.

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV +8.30%E +1.58%K +1.95%G +0.162%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -12.24%E -7.11%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV +0.891%E +0.182%K +0.229%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.91%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.87%EV +0.068%E +0.014%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.23%EV -2.93%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -3.23%E -0.687%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 16:14
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.66%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 16:27
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:14
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 16:25
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 16:19
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:25
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 16:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.32%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -11.44%E -3.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 16:21
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.95%EV -13.77%E -8.15%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -9.17%E -5.15%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -10.85%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-13 16:16
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 15:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.04%EV -10.19%E -5.79%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.49%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.53%EV -11.73%E -6.78%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.81%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-13 16:25
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 15:36
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 15:36
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 15:41
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 15:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 15:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -7.64%E -4.22%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.64%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:41
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.35%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.02%EV -19.70%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-13 15:41
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.95%5.26I 19.01%NM 19.02%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03%-0.1%2026-09-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-09-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-09-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-09-13 16:25
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-09-13 16:25
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-13 16:25