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Mallorca v Sabadell FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Mallorca (Хозяева)
Прогноз 51.03%1.96справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.05%
Преимущество -1.61%
Kelly -3.39%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.11%51.14%50.98%53.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.691.811.821.9059.17%55.13%54.95%52.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Sabadell FC (Гости)
Прогноз 20.59%4.86справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.30%
Преимущество +1.58%
Kelly +1.95%
Рост +0.162%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.26
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.07%20.50%20.77%22.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.904.424.455.2625.64%22.60%22.47%19.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.38%3.52справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.93%
Преимущество -0.856%
Kelly -1.21%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.42
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.83%28.36%28.25%29.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.213.253.4233.33%31.14%30.77%29.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Mallorca (Хозяева): 51.03%; Sabadell FC (Гости): 20.59%; Ничья: 28.38%. Для исхода «Sabadell FC (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.86. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.26, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +8.30%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV +8.30%E +1.58%K +1.95%G +0.162% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -12.24%E -7.11%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV +0.891%E +0.182%K +0.229%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.91%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.87%EV +0.068%E +0.014%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.23%EV -2.93%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -3.23%E -0.687%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.66%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 16:27 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 16:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.32%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -11.44%E -3.67%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 16:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.95%EV -13.77%E -8.15%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -9.17%E -5.15%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -10.85%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-13 16:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.04%EV -10.19%E -5.79%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.49%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.53%EV -11.73%E -6.78%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.81%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -7.64%E -4.22%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.64%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.35%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.02%EV -19.70%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.95% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.02% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03% | -0.1% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |