Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mallorca v Sabadell FC

Inizio: 2026-09-13 16:30 UTC

Finale: Mallorca 2–0 Sabadell FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

45 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mallorca (Casa)

Previsione 51.03%1.96quota equa
EV -3.05%
Vantaggio -1.61%
Kelly -3.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.11%51.14%50.98%53.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.691.811.821.9059.17%55.13%54.95%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Sabadell FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.59%4.86quota equa
EV +8.30%
Vantaggio +1.58%
Kelly +1.95%
Crescita +0.162%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.07%20.50%20.77%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.424.455.2625.64%22.60%22.47%19.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.38%3.52quota equa
EV -2.93%
Vantaggio -0.856%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.83%28.36%28.25%29.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.253.4233.33%31.14%30.77%29.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Mallorca (Casa): 51.03%; Sabadell FC (Trasferta): 20.59%; Pareggio: 28.38%. Per Sabadell FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.86. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.26, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +8.30%.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV +8.30%E +1.58%K +1.95%G +0.162%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -12.24%E -7.11%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV +0.891%E +0.182%K +0.229%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.91%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.87%EV +0.068%E +0.014%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.23%EV -2.93%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -3.23%E -0.687%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 16:14
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.66%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 16:27
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:14
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 16:25
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 16:19
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:25
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 16:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.32%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -11.44%E -3.67%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 16:21
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.95%EV -13.77%E -8.15%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -9.17%E -5.15%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -10.85%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-13 16:16
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 15:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.04%EV -10.19%E -5.79%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.49%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.53%EV -11.73%E -6.78%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.81%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-13 16:25
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 15:36
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 15:36
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 15:41
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 15:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 15:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -7.64%E -4.22%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.64%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:41
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.35%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.02%EV -19.70%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-13 15:41
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.95%5.26I 19.01%NM 19.02%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03%-0.1%2026-09-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-09-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-09-13 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-09-13 16:25
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-09-13 16:25
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-13 16:25