Langue:Français
Mallorca v Sabadell FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mallorca (Local)
Prévision 51.03%1.96cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -3.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.11%51.14%50.98%53.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.691.811.821.9059.17%55.13%54.95%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sabadell FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.59%4.86cote équitable
EV +8.30%
Avantage +1.58%
Kelly +1.95%
Croissance +0.162%
avec la cote maximale 5.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.07%20.50%20.77%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.424.455.2625.64%22.60%22.47%19.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.38%3.52cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -0.856%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.83%28.36%28.25%29.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.253.4233.33%31.14%30.77%29.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mallorca (Local) : 51.03% ; Sabadell FC (Visiteur) : 20.59% ; Match nul : 28.38%. Pour Sabadell FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.86. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.26, soit une espérance positive de +8.30%.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV +8.30%E +1.58%K +1.95%G +0.162% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -12.24%E -7.11%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV +0.891%E +0.182%K +0.229%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.91%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.87%EV +0.068%E +0.014%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.23%EV -2.93%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -3.23%E -0.687%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.66%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 16:27 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 16:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.32%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -11.44%E -3.67%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 16:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.95%EV -13.77%E -8.15%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -9.17%E -5.15%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -10.85%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-13 16:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.04%EV -10.19%E -5.79%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.49%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.53%EV -11.73%E -6.78%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.81%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -7.64%E -4.22%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.64%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.35%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.02%EV -19.70%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.95% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.02% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03% | -0.1% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |