语言:简体中文
Mallorca v Sabadell FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Mallorca (主队)
预测 51.03%1.96公平赔率
EV -3.05%
优势 -1.61%
Kelly -3.39%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.90
博彩公司预测分布
49.11%51.14%50.98%53.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.691.811.821.9059.17%55.13%54.95%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sabadell FC (客队)
预测 20.59%4.86公平赔率
EV +8.30%
优势 +1.58%
Kelly +1.95%
增长率 +0.162%
假设最高赔率为 5.26
博彩公司预测分布
18.07%20.50%20.77%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.424.455.2625.64%22.60%22.47%19.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.38%3.52公平赔率
EV -2.93%
优势 -0.856%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.42
博彩公司预测分布
27.83%28.36%28.25%29.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.213.253.4233.33%31.14%30.77%29.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Mallorca (主队)：51.03%；Sabadell FC (客队)：20.59%；平局：28.38%。 对于“Sabadell FC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.86。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.26，对应+8.30%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07%EV +8.30%E +1.58%K +1.95%G +0.162% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -12.24%E -7.11%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV +0.891%E +0.182%K +0.229%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.91%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.87%EV +0.068%E +0.014%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.23%EV -2.93%E -0.856%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.01%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -2.20%E -0.463%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.69%EV -3.23%E -0.687%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.55%EV -8.66%E -4.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 16:27 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -5.29%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 16:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -7.34%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.32%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -11.44%E -3.67%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 16:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.95%EV -13.77%E -8.15%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -8.37%E -1.88%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.22%EV -9.17%E -5.15%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -9.40%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.70%E -6.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -10.85%E -2.50%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-13 16:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.70%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.04%EV -10.19%E -5.79%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -11.46%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -12.49%E -2.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.53%EV -11.73%E -6.78%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.81%EV -13.52%E -3.22%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.59%E -3.36%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -7.13%E -3.92%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -15.58%E -3.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -7.64%E -4.22%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -17.64%E -4.41%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.35%EV -11.21%E -6.45%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.02%EV -19.70%E -5.05%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.63%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.95% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.02% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03% | -0.1% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.86% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |