Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mallorca v Real Valladolid CF

2026-08-15 19:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mallorca (Local)

Prediction 55.56%1.80fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -5.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.93%55.51%55.58%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.651.661.7365.79%60.42%60.24%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Valladolid CF (Visit)

Prediction 18.20%5.49fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.61%18.27%18.06%19.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.934.955.2523.09%20.27%20.20%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.23%3.81fair odd
EV -0.837%
Edge -0.221%
Kelly -0.301%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%26.22%26.36%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.553.603.7830.30%28.17%27.78%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mallorca (Local): 55.56%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 18.20%; Draw: 26.23%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.78, with an expected value of -0.837%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.51%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.09%EV -8.45%E -1.68%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.40%EV -0.837%E -0.221%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 19:19
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 54.79%EV -3.87%E -2.24%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -4.44%E -0.846%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.16%EV -8.44%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:24
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -4.44%E -0.846%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 17:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 19:05
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -1.62%E -0.433%K -0.591%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 16:15
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -6.65%E -3.96%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -10.81%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.37%EV -3.46%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 19:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 53.94%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-03 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -5.35%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 15:50
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -8.87%E -5.41%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -10.81%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 16:14
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -9.99%E -6.16%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -10.81%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-03 16:12
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.99%E -6.16%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.54%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 16:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.99%E -6.16%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.54%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 16:10
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 53.93%EV -11.10%E -6.94%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.93%EV -21.19%E -4.89%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-03 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.93%EV -15.54%E -10.22%K -29.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-03 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.