Language:English
Mallorca v Real Valladolid CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mallorca (Local)
Prediction 55.50%1.80fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.47%55.43%55.63%57.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.651.7564.10%60.47%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Valladolid CF (Visit)
Prediction 18.80%5.32fair odd
EV +3.38%
Edge +0.614%
Kelly +0.750%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.18%18.84%18.76%20.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.935.005.5022.73%20.28%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -0.964%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.95%25.74%25.61%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.573.553.7529.41%28.04%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mallorca (Local): 55.50%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 18.80%; Draw: 25.70%. For Real Valladolid CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.77%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.79%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.25%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.90%EV -0.194%E -0.037%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -9.01%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.96%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:08 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -2.87%E -1.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -7.87%E -4.74%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -6.76%E -4.02%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |