语言:简体中文
Mallorca v Real Valladolid CF
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Mallorca (主队)
预测 55.50%1.80公平赔率
EV -2.87%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -3.83%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.75
博彩公司预测分布
53.47%55.43%55.63%57.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.651.651.7564.10%60.47%60.61%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
Real Valladolid CF (客队)
预测 18.80%5.32公平赔率
EV +3.38%
优势 +0.614%
Kelly +0.750%
增长率 +0.025%
假设最高赔率为 5.50
博彩公司预测分布
17.18%18.84%18.76%20.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.935.005.5022.73%20.28%20.00%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.70%3.89公平赔率
EV -3.61%
优势 -0.964%
Kelly -1.31%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
24.95%25.74%25.61%26.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.573.553.7529.41%28.04%28.17%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Mallorca (主队)：55.50%；Real Valladolid CF (客队)：18.80%；平局：25.70%。 对于“Real Valladolid CF (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.32。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.50，对应+3.38%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.77%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.79%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.25%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.90%EV -0.194%E -0.037%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -9.01%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.96%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:08 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -2.87%E -1.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -7.87%E -4.74%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -6.76%E -4.02%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |