默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mallorca v Real Valladolid CF

2026-08-15 19:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

胜负盘

16 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mallorca (主队)

预测 55.39%1.81公平赔率
EV -4.18%
优势 -2.41%
Kelly -5.72%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.73

博彩公司预测分布
53.93%55.40%55.34%57.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.661.671.7365.79%60.33%59.88%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

Real Valladolid CF (客队)

预测 18.27%5.47公平赔率
EV -2.26%
优势 -0.422%
Kelly -0.518%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.35

博彩公司预测分布
17.61%18.30%18.25%19.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.334.965.005.3523.09%20.14%20.00%18.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.34%3.80公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.327%
Kelly -0.446%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
24.46%26.30%26.41%27.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.533.593.7530.30%28.37%27.86%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Mallorca (主队):55.39%;Real Valladolid CF (客队):18.27%;平局:26.34%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.80。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.75,期望值为-1.23%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 54.79%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -4.08%E -0.778%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.16%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:24
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.91%EV -2.26%E -0.422%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.04%EV -3.07%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 20:05
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -4.08%E -0.778%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 17:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -8.65%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 20:24
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 54.71%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -8.65%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 22:45
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 54.37%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.20%EV -7.74%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -11.76%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 09:47
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.65%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -1.23%E -0.327%K -0.446%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 16:15
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -5.00%E -0.961%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.09%EV -5.70%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 20:03
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 53.94%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.30%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-03 20:25
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.61%E -5.22%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -10.48%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 09:35
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -9.16%E -5.59%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -10.48%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 16:14
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -10.27%E -6.34%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -10.48%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-03 16:12
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -10.27%E -6.34%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.22%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 16:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -10.27%E -6.34%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.22%E -2.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 16:10
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 53.93%EV -11.38%E -7.11%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.93%EV -20.89%E -4.82%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-03 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.93%EV -15.81%E -10.40%K -30.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -8.65%E -1.73%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-03 15:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。