StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mallorca v Real Valladolid CF

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 19:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Mallorca 2–0 Real Valladolid CF

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mallorca (Hemma)

Prognos 55.50%1.80rättvist odds
EV -2.87%
Fördel -1.64%
Kelly -3.83%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.47%55.43%55.63%57.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.651.651.7564.10%60.47%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Real Valladolid CF (Borta)

Prognos 18.80%5.32rättvist odds
EV +3.38%
Fördel +0.614%
Kelly +0.750%
Tillväxt +0.025%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.18%18.84%18.76%20.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.404.935.005.5022.73%20.28%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.70%3.89rättvist odds
EV -3.61%
Fördel -0.964%
Kelly -1.31%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.95%25.74%25.61%26.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.573.553.7529.41%28.04%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Mallorca (Hemma): 55.50%; Real Valladolid CF (Borta): 18.80%; Oavgjort: 25.70%. För Real Valladolid CF (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.32. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.38%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.77%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.79%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:10
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:10
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.25%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.90%EV -0.194%E -0.037%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -9.01%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:13
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 19:05
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 19:09
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 19:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 19:10
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.96%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 19:14
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:08
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:09
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:09
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:04
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 19:04
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 19:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 19:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 18:49
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 17:24
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -2.87%E -1.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 19:09
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 19:09
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 19:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -7.87%E -4.74%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -6.76%E -4.02%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 19:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:40
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 19:04
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 18:34
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 18:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56%0.3%2026-08-15 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56%0.3%2026-08-15 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-15 19:25
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-15 19:10
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-15 19:15
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-08-15 19:25