Langue:Français
Mallorca v Real Valladolid CF
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mallorca (Local)
Prévision 55.50%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -3.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.47%55.43%55.63%57.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.651.651.7564.10%60.47%60.61%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Real Valladolid CF (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.80%5.32cote équitable
EV +3.38%
Avantage +0.614%
Kelly +0.750%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.18%18.84%18.76%20.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.935.005.5022.73%20.28%20.00%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.70%3.89cote équitable
EV -3.61%
Avantage -0.964%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.95%25.74%25.61%26.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.573.553.7529.41%28.04%28.17%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mallorca (Local) : 55.50% ; Real Valladolid CF (Visiteur) : 18.80% ; Match nul : 25.70%. Pour Real Valladolid CF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.32. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.50, soit une espérance positive de +3.38%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.77%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.79%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.25%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.90%EV -0.194%E -0.037%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -9.01%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.96%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:08 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -2.87%E -1.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -7.87%E -4.74%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -6.76%E -4.02%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |