Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mallorca v Real Valladolid CF

Inizio: 2026-08-15 19:30 UTC

Finale: Mallorca 2–0 Real Valladolid CF

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mallorca (Casa)

Previsione 55.50%1.80quota equa
EV -2.87%
Vantaggio -1.64%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.47%55.43%55.63%57.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.651.651.7564.10%60.47%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Real Valladolid CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.80%5.32quota equa
EV +3.38%
Vantaggio +0.614%
Kelly +0.750%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.18%18.84%18.76%20.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.935.005.5022.73%20.28%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.70%3.89quota equa
EV -3.61%
Vantaggio -0.964%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.95%25.74%25.61%26.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.573.553.7529.41%28.04%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Mallorca (Casa): 55.50%; Real Valladolid CF (Trasferta): 18.80%; Pareggio: 25.70%. Per Real Valladolid CF (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.32. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.38%.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.77%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.79%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:10
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:10
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.25%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.90%EV -0.194%E -0.037%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -9.01%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 19:13
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 19:05
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 19:09
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 19:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 19:10
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.96%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 19:14
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:08
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:09
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:09
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:04
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 19:04
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 19:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 19:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 18:49
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 17:24
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -2.87%E -1.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 19:09
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 19:09
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 19:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -7.87%E -4.74%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 19:05
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -6.76%E -4.02%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 19:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:40
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 19:04
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 18:34
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 18:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56%0.3%2026-08-15 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56%0.3%2026-08-15 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-15 19:25
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-15 19:10
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-15 19:15
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-08-15 19:25