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Mallorca v Real Valladolid CF
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Mallorca (Хозяева)
Прогноз 55.50%1.80справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.87%
Преимущество -1.64%
Kelly -3.83%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.47%55.43%55.63%57.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.561.651.651.7564.10%60.47%60.61%57.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Real Valladolid CF (Гости)
Прогноз 18.80%5.32справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.38%
Преимущество +0.614%
Kelly +0.750%
Рост +0.025%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.18%18.84%18.76%20.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.404.935.005.5022.73%20.28%20.00%18.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.70%3.89справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.61%
Преимущество -0.964%
Kelly -1.31%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.95%25.74%25.61%26.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.573.553.7529.41%28.04%28.17%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Mallorca (Хозяева): 55.50%; Real Valladolid CF (Гости): 18.80%; Ничья: 25.70%. Для исхода «Real Valladolid CF (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.32. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.38%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.77%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.79%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.750%G +0.025% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -9.53%E -5.85%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.50%E +0.277%K +0.340%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.25%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.90%EV -0.194%E -0.037%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -9.01%E -2.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 19:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 19:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.26%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -8.98%E -5.47%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.96%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:08 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -13.42%E -8.60%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -2.87%E -1.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -11.20%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -10.09%E -6.23%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.72%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -7.87%E -4.74%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.66%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -6.76%E -4.02%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -15.42%E -3.43%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -17.30%E -3.93%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 19:25 |