Language:English
Málaga v Las Palmas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Málaga (Local)
Prediction 44.77%2.23fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.00%44.60%44.87%45.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.85%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Palmas (Visit)
Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV +0.822%
Edge +0.217%
Kelly +0.295%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%26.79%26.51%28.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.373.303.7932.79%29.70%30.30%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.63%3.49fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -0.864%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.88%28.60%28.62%31.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.233.253.4238.02%30.98%30.77%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Málaga (Local): 44.77%; Las Palmas (Visit): 26.60%; Draw: 28.63%. For Las Palmas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.822%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.42%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.53%EV +0.822%E +0.217%K +0.295%G +0.002% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -4.67%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.92%EV -0.508%E -0.136%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.35%EV -2.09%E -0.612%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.69%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.57%E -0.425%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -3.24%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-10 17:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 11:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.23%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.45%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.22%EV -14.49%E -7.59%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.40%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.39%EV -24.71%E -9.39%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -18.86%E -6.18%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |