语言:简体中文
Málaga v Las Palmas
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Málaga (主队)
预测 44.77%2.23公平赔率
EV -1.51%
优势 -0.685%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.20
博彩公司预测分布
43.00%44.60%44.87%45.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.85%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
Las Palmas (客队)
预测 26.60%3.76公平赔率
EV +0.822%
优势 +0.217%
Kelly +0.295%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 3.79
博彩公司预测分布
25.40%26.79%26.51%28.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.373.303.7932.79%29.70%30.30%26.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.63%3.49公平赔率
EV -2.09%
优势 -0.612%
Kelly -0.864%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.42
博彩公司预测分布
27.88%28.60%28.62%31.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.633.233.253.4238.02%30.98%30.77%29.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Málaga (主队)：44.77%；Las Palmas (客队)：26.60%；平局：28.63%。 对于“Las Palmas (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.76。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.79，对应+0.822%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.42%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.53%EV +0.822%E +0.217%K +0.295%G +0.002% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -4.67%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.92%EV -0.508%E -0.136%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.35%EV -2.09%E -0.612%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.69%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.57%E -0.425%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -3.24%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-10 17:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 11:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.23%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.45%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.22%EV -14.49%E -7.59%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.40%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.39%EV -24.71%E -9.39%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -18.86%E -6.18%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |