La scuola delle quote

Málaga v Las Palmas

Inizio: 2026-06-10 19:00 UTC

Finale: Málaga 1–1 Las Palmas

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Málaga (Casa)

Previsione 44.77%2.23quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -0.685%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.00%44.60%44.87%45.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.85%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Las Palmas (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.60%3.76quota equa
EV +0.822%
Vantaggio +0.217%
Kelly +0.295%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.40%26.79%26.51%28.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.373.303.7932.79%29.70%30.30%26.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.63%3.49quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -0.612%
Kelly -0.864%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.88%28.60%28.62%31.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.633.233.253.4238.02%30.98%30.77%29.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.42%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.53%EV +0.822%E +0.217%K +0.295%G +0.002%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -4.67%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-10 17:20
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.92%EV -0.508%E -0.136%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.35%EV -2.09%E -0.612%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-10 17:20
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.69%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.57%E -0.425%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -3.24%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 16:49
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 16:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 16:49
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-10 17:18
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-10 16:49
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 17:20
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 17:20
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-10 16:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-10 16:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-10 16:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 10:30
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-10 11:19
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-10 16:49
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-10 16:49
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-10 16:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-10 16:10
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.23%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.45%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-10 16:50
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 00:09
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 16:50
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 16:49
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 16:09
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 16:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 16:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.22%EV -14.49%E -7.59%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.40%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.39%EV -24.71%E -9.39%K -15.16%G +0.000%21.1%2026-06-10 16:50
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 16:10
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 16:10
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 16:09
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-10 16:09
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 16:09
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 16:10
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 16:10
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -18.86%E -6.18%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-10 16:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-10 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-06-10 16:50
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-06-10 16:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-06-10 16:50