L’École des cotesFrançais
Málaga v Las Palmas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Málaga (Local)
Prévision 44.77%2.23cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.685%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.00%44.60%44.87%45.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.85%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Las Palmas (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.60%3.76cote équitable
EV +0.822%
Avantage +0.217%
Kelly +0.295%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.40%26.79%26.51%28.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.373.303.7932.79%29.70%30.30%26.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.63%3.49cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.612%
Kelly -0.864%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.88%28.60%28.62%31.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.233.253.4238.02%30.98%30.77%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.42%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.53%EV +0.822%E +0.217%K +0.295%G +0.002% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -4.67%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.92%EV -0.508%E -0.136%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.35%EV -2.09%E -0.612%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.69%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.57%E -0.425%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -3.24%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Bovada | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-10 17:18 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 10:30 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 11:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.23%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.45%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.22%EV -14.49%E -7.59%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.40%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.39%EV -24.71%E -9.39%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -18.86%E -6.18%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |