A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Málaga v Las Palmas
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Málaga (Local)
Previsão 44.77%2.23odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.685%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.00%44.60%44.87%45.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.85%47.62%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Las Palmas (Visitante)
Previsão 26.60%3.76odd justa
EV +0.822%
Vantagem +0.217%
Kelly +0.295%
Crescimento +0.002%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.79
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.40%26.79%26.51%28.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.053.373.303.7932.79%29.70%30.30%26.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 28.63%3.49odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -0.612%
Kelly -0.864%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.88%28.60%28.62%31.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.633.233.253.4238.02%30.98%30.77%29.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.42%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.53%EV +0.822%E +0.217%K +0.295%G +0.002% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -4.67%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.92%EV -0.508%E -0.136%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.35%EV -2.09%E -0.612%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.69%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.57%E -0.425%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -3.24%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Bovada | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-10 17:18 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 10:30 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 11:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.23%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.45%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-10 16:49 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.22%EV -14.49%E -7.59%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.40%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.39%EV -24.71%E -9.39%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -18.86%E -6.18%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-10 16:10 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-06-10 16:50 |