مدرسة الاحتمالات

Málaga v Las Palmas

البداية: 2026-06-10 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Málaga 1–1 Las Palmas

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Málaga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.77%2.23السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -0.685%
Kelly -1.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.00%44.60%44.87%45.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.85%47.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Las Palmas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.60%3.76السعر العادل
EV +0.822%
الأفضلية +0.217%
Kelly +0.295%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.40%26.79%26.51%28.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.373.303.7932.79%29.70%30.30%26.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.63%3.49السعر العادل
EV -2.09%
الأفضلية -0.612%
Kelly -0.864%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.88%28.60%28.62%31.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.633.233.253.4238.02%30.98%30.77%29.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.42%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.53%EV +0.822%E +0.217%K +0.295%G +0.002%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -4.67%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-10 17:20
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.73%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.92%EV -0.508%E -0.136%K -0.186%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.35%EV -2.09%E -0.612%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-10 17:20
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.69%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -1.57%E -0.425%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -3.24%E -0.958%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 16:49
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 16:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 16:49
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-10 17:18
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-10 16:49
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 17:20
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 17:20
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 44.40%EV -5.54%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-10 16:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-10 16:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-10 16:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 10:30
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-10 11:19
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-10 16:49
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-10 16:49
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-10 16:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-10 16:10
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.23%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.45%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-10 16:50
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 00:09
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.51%E -0.685%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.66%E -0.784%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 16:50
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 16:49
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.25%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 16:09
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.10%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 16:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-10 16:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.22%EV -14.49%E -7.59%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.40%EV -13.54%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.39%EV -24.71%E -9.39%K -15.16%G +0.000%21.1%2026-06-10 16:50
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 16:10
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 16:10
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 16:09
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.53%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-10 16:09
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 16:09
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 16:10
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -16.20%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 16:10
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -18.86%E -6.18%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-10 16:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-10 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-06-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-06-10 16:50
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-06-10 16:50
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-06-10 16:50