赔率学院

Nacional v Vitória SC

开赛时间: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Nacional (主队)

预测 44.95%2.22公平赔率
EV -1.57%
优势 -0.717%
Kelly -1.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.19

博彩公司预测分布
43.62%45.07%44.89%46.67%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.912.052.042.1952.36%48.85%49.02%45.66%MIN均值中位数MAX

Vitória SC (客队)

预测 27.44%3.64公平赔率
EV +1.54%
优势 +0.415%
Kelly +0.569%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.07%27.29%27.50%28.55%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.203.403.363.7031.25%29.45%29.76%27.03%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 27.61%3.62公平赔率
EV -3.08%
优势 -0.878%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.51

博彩公司预测分布
26.62%27.64%27.60%28.74%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.383.403.5133.33%29.61%29.41%28.49%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:30
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.10%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +0.165%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.64%EV -11.09%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:34
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.06%EV -6.06%E -2.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.384%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -3.08%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 16:50
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:29
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.33%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.07%EV -1.48%E -0.413%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.61%EV -6.40%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:25
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.23%EV -1.57%E -0.717%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -2.58%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 16:55
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:35
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.51%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:52
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:40
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:40
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 16:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.36%E -6.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -4.27%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -10.56%E -5.31%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:55
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:40
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -11.46%E -5.82%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 16:40
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.15%E -7.41%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.16%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 16:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:55
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:55
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -11.91%E -6.07%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 16:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70%1.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-05-16 16:55