Die Schule der Quoten

Nacional v Vitória SC

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Endstand: Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Nacional (Heim)

Prognose 44.95%2.22faire Quote
EV -1.57%
Vorteil -0.717%
Kelly -1.32%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.19

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.62%45.07%44.89%46.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.912.052.042.1952.36%48.85%49.02%45.66%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Vitória SC (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.44%3.64faire Quote
EV +1.54%
Vorteil +0.415%
Kelly +0.569%
Wachstum +0.009%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.07%27.29%27.50%28.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.403.363.7031.25%29.45%29.76%27.03%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.61%3.62faire Quote
EV -3.08%
Vorteil -0.878%
Kelly -1.23%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.51

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.62%27.64%27.60%28.74%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.383.403.5133.33%29.61%29.41%28.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:30
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.10%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +0.165%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.64%EV -11.09%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:34
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.06%EV -6.06%E -2.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.384%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -3.08%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 16:50
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:29
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.33%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.07%EV -1.48%E -0.413%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.61%EV -6.40%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:25
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.23%EV -1.57%E -0.717%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -2.58%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 16:55
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:35
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.51%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:52
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:40
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:40
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 16:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.36%E -6.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -4.27%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -10.56%E -5.31%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:55
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:40
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -11.46%E -5.82%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 16:40
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.15%E -7.41%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.16%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 16:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:55
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:55
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -11.91%E -6.07%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70%1.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-05-16 16:55