Школа коэффициентов

Nacional v Vitória SC

Начало: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Итог: Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Nacional (Хозяева)

Прогноз 44.95%2.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.57%
Преимущество -0.717%
Kelly -1.32%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.19

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.62%45.07%44.89%46.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.912.052.042.1952.36%48.85%49.02%45.66%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Vitória SC (Гости)

Прогноз 27.44%3.64справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.54%
Преимущество +0.415%
Kelly +0.569%
Рост +0.009%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.07%27.29%27.50%28.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.403.363.7031.25%29.45%29.76%27.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.61%3.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.08%
Преимущество -0.878%
Kelly -1.23%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.62%27.64%27.60%28.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.383.403.5133.33%29.61%29.41%28.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:30
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.10%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +0.165%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.64%EV -11.09%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:34
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.06%EV -6.06%E -2.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.384%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -3.08%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 16:50
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:29
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.33%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.07%EV -1.48%E -0.413%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.61%EV -6.40%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:25
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.23%EV -1.57%E -0.717%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -2.58%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 16:55
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:35
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.51%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:52
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:40
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:40
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 16:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.36%E -6.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -4.27%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -10.56%E -5.31%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:55
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:40
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -11.46%E -5.82%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 16:40
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.15%E -7.41%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.16%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 16:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:55
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:55
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -11.91%E -6.07%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70%1.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-05-16 16:55