La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nacional v Vitória SC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nacional (Local)
Predicción 44.95%2.22momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.717%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.62%45.07%44.89%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.052.042.1952.36%48.85%49.02%45.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vitória SC (Visitante)
Predicción 27.44%3.64momio equitativo
EV +1.54%
Ventaja +0.415%
Kelly +0.569%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.07%27.29%27.50%28.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.403.363.7031.25%29.45%29.76%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.61%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -0.878%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.62%27.64%27.60%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.5133.33%29.61%29.41%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.10%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +0.165%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.64%EV -11.09%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 16:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.06%EV -6.06%E -2.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.384%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -3.08%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| GTbets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.33%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.07%EV -1.48%E -0.413%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.61%EV -6.40%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 16:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.23%EV -1.57%E -0.717%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -2.58%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.51%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:52 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Casumo | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.36%E -6.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| BetUS | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -4.27%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -10.56%E -5.31%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 16:54 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -11.46%E -5.82%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.15%E -7.41%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.16%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -11.91%E -6.07%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |