L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Nacional v Vitória SC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nacional (Local)
Prévision 44.95%2.22cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.717%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.19
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.62%45.07%44.89%46.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.052.042.1952.36%48.85%49.02%45.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vitória SC (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.44%3.64cote équitable
EV +1.54%
Avantage +0.415%
Kelly +0.569%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.07%27.29%27.50%28.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.403.363.7031.25%29.45%29.76%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.61%3.62cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.878%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.62%27.64%27.60%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.5133.33%29.61%29.41%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.10%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +0.165%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.64%EV -11.09%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 16:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.06%EV -6.06%E -2.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.384%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -3.08%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| GTbets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.33%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.07%EV -1.48%E -0.413%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.61%EV -6.40%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 16:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.23%EV -1.57%E -0.717%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -2.58%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.51%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:52 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Casumo | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.36%E -6.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| BetUS | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -4.27%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -10.56%E -5.31%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 16:54 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -11.46%E -5.82%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.15%E -7.41%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.16%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -11.91%E -6.07%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |