مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Nacional v Vitória SC
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Nacional (المضيف)
التنبؤ 44.95%2.22السعر العادل
EV -1.57%
الأفضلية -0.717%
Kelly -1.32%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.19
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.62%45.07%44.89%46.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.052.042.1952.36%48.85%49.02%45.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Vitória SC (الضيف)
التنبؤ 27.44%3.64السعر العادل
EV +1.54%
الأفضلية +0.415%
Kelly +0.569%
النمو +0.009%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.07%27.29%27.50%28.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.403.363.7031.25%29.45%29.76%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 27.61%3.62السعر العادل
EV -3.08%
الأفضلية -0.878%
Kelly -1.23%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.51
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.62%27.64%27.60%28.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.383.403.5133.33%29.61%29.41%28.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.10%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +0.165%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.64%EV -11.09%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 16:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.06%EV -6.06%E -2.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.384%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -3.08%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| GTbets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.33%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.07%EV -1.48%E -0.413%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.61%EV -6.40%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 16:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.23%EV -1.57%E -0.717%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -2.58%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.51%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:52 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Casumo | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.36%E -6.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| BetUS | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -4.27%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -10.56%E -5.31%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 16:54 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -11.46%E -5.82%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.15%E -7.41%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.16%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -11.91%E -6.07%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |