Szkoła Kursów

Nacional v Vitória SC

Początek: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Nacional 2–0 Vitória SC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Nacional (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 44.95%2.22kurs godziwy
EV -1.57%
Przewaga -0.717%
Kelly -1.32%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.19

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.62%45.07%44.89%46.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.912.052.042.1952.36%48.85%49.02%45.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Vitória SC (Goście)

Prognoza 27.44%3.64kurs godziwy
EV +1.54%
Przewaga +0.415%
Kelly +0.569%
Wzrost +0.009%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.07%27.29%27.50%28.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.203.403.363.7031.25%29.45%29.76%27.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.61%3.62kurs godziwy
EV -3.08%
Przewaga -0.878%
Kelly -1.23%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.51

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.62%27.64%27.60%28.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.383.403.5133.33%29.61%29.41%28.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:30
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV +1.54%E +0.415%K +0.569%G +0.009%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.10%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +0.165%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.64%EV -11.09%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:34
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.06%EV -6.06%E -2.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.384%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -3.08%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 16:50
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:29
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.33%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.07%EV -1.48%E -0.413%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.61%EV -6.40%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:25
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.23%EV -1.57%E -0.717%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -2.58%E -0.727%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 16:55
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.98%EV -5.16%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:55
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:35
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.51%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:52
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:55
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:35
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:40
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:40
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:35
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 16:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.36%E -6.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -6.70%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -4.27%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.21%E -4.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -10.56%E -5.31%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.36%E -0.959%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:55
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.61%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -11.01%E -5.56%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:40
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -11.46%E -5.82%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 16:40
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.15%E -7.41%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -17.16%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 16:30
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:55
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.12%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.86%E -3.83%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:55
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -11.91%E -6.07%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.11%E -5.05%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70%1.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-05-16 16:55